History Files
 

Helping the History Files

Contributed: £151

Target: £806

2023
Totals slider
2023

Hosting costs for the History Files website have been increased by an eye-watering 40% in 2025. This non-profit site is only able to keep going with your help. Please make a donation to keep it online. Thank you!

 

 

Worldwide

From Oracles to Odds: How People Tried to Predict the Future


Humans have always looked for ways to predict the future. From the oracles of the ancient world to attempts to predict the weather today, we have always sought to foretell the future. In this article, we look at some prediction methods, from the ancient oracles to today’s methods of divination through predicting the lottery.

Ancient oracles: voices of the gods

In ancient times, oracles were the most important way to predict the future. An oracle was originally an individual who was a priest or priestess and was thus considered to be inspired by deities to provide prophetic predictions. The most well-known was the Oracle of Delphi in Greece, where the Pythia, a priestess of Apollo, delivered cryptic messages that shaped individual lives and government policy.

Oracles were often expressed in enigmatic or poetic language with multiple possible meanings. This uncertainty allowed them to keep their authority even when what they predicted seemed to be false or at least unclear. For example, in response to a question about an upcoming war, an oracle may say, "You will go, you will return, never in war will you perish," with alternate interpretations according to punctuation and context. Such vagueness was very typical, and it allowed oracles to remain meaningful, regardless of what came to pass.

Apart from oracles, ancient people used countless divination techniques, including interpreting wind, leaves rustling, casting lots, or incubation—sleeping in sacred places so as to gain answers to questions in dreams. Such customs were commonplace, stretching from Greek temples and Babylonian and Egyptian practices.

The shift to rational prediction

When societies became more sophisticated, the mystical nature of oracles gave way to more systematic approaches. Philosophers and scientists started searching for patterns and laws governing occurrences, inching toward rational prediction. In science fiction, for example, there’s Isaac Asimov’s idea of “psychohistory,” the idea of predicting through math and statistics the behaviour of large masses of people over time.

Nowadays, predicting the future is more about data and probability and less about messages from above. From financial markets to weather forecasting to predicting lottery jackpot numbers, statistical models and algorithms are used to predict future events. And though choosing lottery numbers is mostly a game of chance, some have hoped to find patterns or systems that would make them more successful, a reflection of the enduring human desire to control uncertainty.

Scary predictions for the future

Over the years, there have been some pretty grim, fear-inducing predictions, which often mirror our deepest societal fears. In the past, oracular predictions sometimes predicted disasters or wars, whereas in the present day, forecasts might concern climate change effects, technological dangers, or international instability. These scary predictions for the future are not just about curiosity but also about preparing for potential challenges.

Conclusion

From the temples of ancient Greece to today’s cutting-edge data visualizations, humans have come up with many ways to try to forecast the future. Such oracles used to speak for deities with ambiguous words, but these days people use science and statistics to make sense of uncertainty. Whether we are searching for signs from heaven or seeking a solution to guess lottery jackpot numbers, the human desire to predict the future has always influenced our actions and hopes.

While you're here, why not explore the latest banner feature and daily posts by clicking on the image below. There's so much more available on the History Files!

 

 

     
Images and text copyright © 2025. Content supplied by an external professional marketing service. The History Files accepts no responsibility for any external links on this page.